ON THE TIMES WE ARE NOW IN

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Detroit Free Press

"Gov. Whitmer: Downtown Midland could be under 9 feet of water by Wednesday"


Angie Jackson and Todd Spangler, Detroit Free Press

20 MAY 2020

Urging residents to evacuate and saying downtown Midland could be under 9 feet of water by Wednesday afternoon, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer late Tuesday declared a state of emergency for Midland County after the Edenville and Sanford dams breached.

Speaking during a press conference late Tuesday, Whitmer said parts of the city of Midland, the village of Sanford, Edenville Township and Dow Chemical had been or were being evacuated.

She said officials were working to evacuate residents in Tittabawassee, Thomas and Saginaw townships on Tuesday evening.

Parts of Midland Township, Lincoln Township and Homer Township had also been evacuated, according to alerts on Midland County's emergency management system, with tens of thousands of people potentially affected by flooding along the Tittabawassee River and a flood warning in effect through Wednesday morning.

Whitmer said at a 10 p.m. briefing Tuesday that state officials expected the worst over the next 12-15 hours with as much as 9 feet of water in downtown Midland, the largest city in the area with about 40,000 residents and the home to Dow Chemical.

"This is unlike anything we’ve seen before... but this is truly a historic event that's playing out in the midst of another historic event," Whitmer said, referring to the coronavirus pandemic which has led to stay-at-home orders throughout the state and the deaths of more than 5,000 people.

She said that despite those orders generally telling people to stay home, it was important that anyone living in the affected areas evacuate as quickly as possible to safer areas, or go to the homes of relatives and friends.


She also said shelters have opened in Midland County at:

Midland High School at 1301 Eastlawn

Bullock Creek High School at 1420 S. Badour

West Midland Family Center at 4011 W Isabella

Several dams upstream of Midland along the Tittabawassee had either been breached or were releasing water uncontrollably after 4 to 7 inches of rain fell Sunday and Monday, including the Edenville and Sanford dams on Tuesday, forcing the evacuation of thousands of people in mid-Michigan.

The National Weather Service forecast major flooding, likely setting records.

The Tittabawassee River had swelled to 30.9 feet late Tuesday and was forecast to crest at 38 feet at 8 a.m. Wednesday, according to the National Weather Service.

The record is 33.9 feet.

Emergency responders were going door-to-door early Tuesday morning warning residents living near the Edenville Dam of the rising water, the Associated Press reported.

Some residents were able to return home, only to be told to leave again following the dam's breach.

The Sanford Dam was breached later in the day Tuesday.

Whitmer said she had activated the National Guard and Guardsmen were on the scene already.

Helicopters were being used to try to find the best way to evacuate people as well.

She also said she would turn to the Federal Emergency Management Agency for help as quickly as she could.

For now, however, she said it was urgent that people get out of harm's way.

"Please do not hesitate."

"Go to stay with a friend or relative or go to one of these shelters now," she said, adding that even at a shelter, people should try to do the best they can to practice social distancing and wear a face covering to protect themselves and others from coronavirus.

Whitmer also urged people not to walk or drive through standing water and to take the evacuation notices seriously, saying there were thousands of Michiganders who needed to heed the call to evacuate immediately.

Asked by a reporter what the state could do to help people financially recover from losses, given the strain already put on Michigan's revenues by the pandemic and the shutdown of businesses, Whitmer said Tuesday that would have to be looked at later after the damage is assessed.

“The depth of the destruction is unknown yet, but I think it’s safe to anticipate that there are going to be a lot of people who are going to struggle as a result of this on top of all of the other stressors that we have right now," she said.

"So we're going to work incredibly hard to help people get through this."

"And we'll work with the Legislature to do everything we can to help.”

Contact Angie: ajackson@freepress.com; 313-222-1850. Follow her on Twitter: @AngieJackson23

This article originally appeared on Detroit Free Press: Gov. Whitmer: Downtown Midland could be under 9 feet of water by Wednesday

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ABC News

"Severe weather kills 2 in Carolinas, tornado threat possible in Midwest Saturday"


23 MAY 2020

Severe storms moved across the southern Plains to the Southeast on Friday, leaving a variety of storm damage in their wake, including two deaths in the Carolinas.

The storms produced four tornadoes and two wind-related fatalities due to downed trees and power poles in North Carolina and South Carolina.


The threat for severe weather continues over Memorial Day weekend as thunderstorms are making their way across Oklahoma, Arkansas and Texas Saturday morning.

This first round of storms is expected to fizzle out by the early afternoon as a low-pressure system continues to move to the east.

Storms begin to fire across Illinois, Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska and the Dakotas by Saturday evening. Some storms could be severe.

The main threats in the severe risk areas include damaging winds and hail.

There is, however, a tornado risk in the Midwest Saturday night.

More storms are in the forecast for the Northeast Saturday, but the region should clear up in time for Memorial Day.

Showers will taper off throughout the afternoon hours Saturday for the mid-Atlantic states as the system moves into the Northeast.

The damp weather exits the Northeast Saturday evening.

It will be in the 60s and 70s from Boston to Philadelphia Saturday.

Temperatures will be in the 80s south of Washington, D.C.

Memorial Day is looking dry on both coasts, with the exception of Florida.

The middle of the country is looking at shower & thunderstorm chances for Monday.

There is also a red flag warning in effect from Saturday afternoon to Saturday night as relative humidity will be very low.

Winds are expected to gust to 35 mph at times.

This could perpetuate any new or existing fires.

Along the West Coast, excessive heat alerts for central and northern California are effective Tuesday through Thursday.

Alerts in southern California into Nevada and Arizona are effective Wednesday through Friday.

Temperatures will be in the triple digits to kick off the week in many places with heat index values even higher.

The risk for heat-related illness is high, especially with outdoor activities encouraged amid social-distancing regulations.

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The Weather Network

"Storm batters Texas city with hail bigger than softballs"


Digital Writers

23 MAY 2020

A Texas city was hit by hail larger than softballs Friday evening, damaging cars, after severe thunderstorms ripped through the state, according to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Norman, Okla.

NWS confirmed through social media pictures that Burkburnett was hit by hail as large as 5.33 inches (135.38 mm), larger than softball-sized, which is defined as 4.25 inches (107.95 mm).

The hailstones weren't far off the all-time U.S. record, which was 8 inches (203.20 mm), reported in South Dakota on July 23, 2010.

People took to social media to post images of the sizable hailstones.

Burkburnett resident, Toni Marie Scott, shared a photo of a child holding one of the large stones.

Officials said thunderstorms formed west of Wichita Falls in the late afternoon Friday, quickly intensifying as they headed towards Burkburnett.

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram

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AccuWeather

"Central US to face severe weather, lightning dangers into this weekend"


Kristina Pydynowski

19 JUNE 2020

Parts of the central United States will face the daily threat of thunderstorms, some of which will turn severe, into this weekend.

Whether storms become violent or not, all storms can pose lightning dangers for those with outdoor plans.

Thursday started with drenching rain and locally stronger thunderstorms pressing across Minnesota.

After these downpours fizzle and the sun comes out for some time, the stage will be set for more thunderstorms to ignite across a larger swath of the nation's midsection Thursday afternoon and evening.

A widespread outbreak of severe weather across this zone is not anticipated.

However, a small number of the thunderstorms can turn severe from Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin to eastern Nebraska and southward to western parts of Oklahoma and Texas.

"Blinding downpours, frequent lightning and damaging winds will be the main threats from the strongest thunderstorms," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said.

Hail is another concern, especially across the southern Plains.

"The thunderstorms that first fire up Thursday afternoon in eastern South Dakota and southwestern Minnesota will eventually track and impact cities such as Omaha, Nebraska, and Minneapolis in the late afternoon and evening hours," according to Pydynowski.

Other cities at risk include Duluth and Rochester, Minnesota; Sioux City, Iowa; Dodge City and Wichita, Kansas; Woodward and Lawton, Oklahoma; and Amarillo and Lubbock, Texas.

"Those planning on going for an evening jog, walk in the park or doing some work in the garden should keep an eye to the sky and head indoors when they hear thunder," Pydynowski added.

The severe weather danger will tend to wane overnight Thursday in most areas, but there is concern for a cluster of drenching rain and/or thunderstorms to linger into the overnight hours in the vicinity of southwestern Oklahoma and neighboring parts of Texas.

The exact track this cluster takes could have implications on where Friday's severe weather danger develops.

Friday's severe weather to focus on western Texas

"The risk of severe weather on Friday afternoon will depend on where the thunderstorms on Thursday night track," said Eddie Walker, an AccuWeather senior storm warning meteorologist.

"Clouds from the overnight storms can limit severe weather in some areas of western Texas, but the cold air rushing out away from these thunderstorms [known as outflows] could help spark severe thunderstorms in other areas," he said.

At this time, AccuWeather meteorologists are putting communities from near Amarillo to around Midland on alert for severe thunderstorms to erupt on Friday afternoon.

The violent thunderstorms may then spread eastward to San Angelo, Abilene and Wichita Falls.

"In addition to the risk of damaging winds and downpours, the strongest thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail," Paul Walker, AccuWeather forecaster, said.

Thunderstorms will also rumble across the central Plains and the western Great Lakes on Friday.

Even though nothing more than an isolated severe thunderstorm is anticipated in these areas, forecasters urge people to remember that all thunderstorms produce dangerous lightning.

The northern Plains, meanwhile, will finally enjoy a comfortable day after a sizzling start to the week.

Monitoring severe weather risks for Father's Day weekend

Those with outdoor Father's Day weekend plans across the nation's midsection may have to dodge showers and thunderstorms or even a steadier band of rain.

The entire weekend is not expected to be a washout in any one location, but residents should still monitor the weather and prepare to adjust their plans accordingly.

South of rain soaking Nebraska and Iowa for a time on Saturday, thunderstorms will rumble from near Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and Chicago to Kansas City and Oklahoma City.

"Clouds and ongoing showers and thunderstorms that start Saturday may put a lid on a widespread severe weather risk," according to Eddie Walker.

"However, where clouds manage to break and the sun comes out, people should watch out for localized severe thunderstorms."

AccuWeather meteorologists will also be closely monitoring the zones of thunderstorms on Sunday for any additional isolated severe weather dangers.

Thunderstorms into this weekend will bring beneficial rain

In addition to bringing heat relief to northern areas, the rounds of thunderstorms targeting the nation's midsection are delivering beneficial rain.

Many areas in western Texas and Oklahoma are suffering from a moderate to severe drought with pockets of extreme drought status, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

Parts of the northern Plains were also abnormally dry or experiencing a moderate drought.

The rain is also coming at a great time for farmers in the Corn Belt.

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FOX NEWS

"Saharan dust cloud moving across Atlantic may reach Gulf Coast next week"


Travis Fedschun

19 JUNE 2020

A massive cloud of dust from the Sahara desert is swirling across the Atlantic Ocean and may reach the Gulf of Mexico next week, which forecasters say may bring the potential for some spectacular skies.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said that the plume was first captured on June 7, blowing west off the African continent over the Atlantic.

According to NOAA, very dry and dusty air known as the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) forms over the Sahara Desert during the late spring, summer and early fall, which then moves over the tropical Atlantic.

SAL activity usually "ramps up" and peaks from late June to mid-August, with individual outbreaks reaching as far west as Florida and even Texas.

Some of these dust clouds can cover vast areas of the Atlantic, areas sometimes as large as the lower 48 United States, according to NOAA.

The National Weather Service (NWS) office in Houston said that the most recent large cloud that has moved off of Africa is doing just that, and will move into the Caribbean by Sunday and Southeast Texas by next Tuesday.

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AccuWeather

"Short-lived subtropical system attempting to brew in Atlantic Ocean"


Kristina Pydynowski

23 JUNE 2020

AccuWeather meteorologists are closely monitoring a system churning east of the northeastern United States for potential development into the next subtropical depression or named storm, a status it could reach by Tuesday.

The system is spinning a few hundred miles offshore of the mid-Atlantic and about 320 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts.


The environment is marginally conducive for it to gain tropical characteristics.

"The system is located right along the edge of water warm that can support tropical development," AccuWeather's Top Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.

The threshold that forecasters look for in order for tropical systems to develop or survive is 80 degrees Fahrenheit.

"If the system stays over this warm water long enough and dry air doesn't wrap into its center, it could organize into a subtropical depression or storm later Monday or Monday night and continue into Tuesday."

The system being monitored for tropical development was seen spinning east of the mid-Atlantic on June 22, 2020. (RAMMB-Satellite)

Subtropical storms are a hybrid of a non-tropical and tropical storms, yet are still given a name.

The next subtropical or tropical storm in the Atlantic Basin would acquire the name Dolly.

However, the time this system may spend as a subtropical depression or storm would be extremely brief.

"The system will pass just south and east of Nova Scotia Tuesday and Tuesday night and back over much colder water," Kottlowski said.

"Once over that much colder water, the system will lose any tropical characteristics and once again become a non-tropical system."

The disturbance could stir rough seas and cause disruptions in the path of shipping interests.

If the system is named Dolly, it would be extremely rare to have four named tropical storms by the end of June.

According to records from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the month of June has only produced two other D-named storms: Tropical Storm Debby from 2012 and Tropical Storm Danielle from 2016.

Debby formed over the south-central Gulf of Mexico before slamming into the Big Bend area of Florida on June 26, 2012.

The system weakened soon after moving inland, but it produced a considerable amount of flooding across northern and central portions of the state.

Danielle formed in a similar area and was a short-lived tropical storm that developed over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

The weak tropical storm made landfall near Tamiahua in eastern Mexico on June 20, 2016.

According to AccuWeather Senior Weather Editor and Meteorologist Jesse Ferrell, there have been 69 D-named storms in the Atlantic since storms were officially named starting in 1950.

The most common of those names are Dolly at eight times and the aforementioned Debby and Danielle at seven times apiece.

Danielle's formation on June 20, 2016, just prior to landfall holds the record for the earliest formation of the fourth tropical storm of the season.

So far, eight D-named storms have been retired, including Hurricane Diane in 1955 and Hurricane Dean in 2007.

Hurricane Dorian from 2019 is expected to be retired sometime this year.

Ferrell said all of the retired D-named storms formed in August, with the exception of Dennis, which formed the earliest on July 4, 2005.

The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season has already experienced its earliest third-named storm on record when Cristobal formed near the coast of southeastern Mexico on June 2.

The remainder of the Atlantic Ocean is quiet due to an "abnormally" large dust cloud spanning most of the basin and the presence of strong wind shear, or increasing winds with altitude.

Additional reporting by meteorologist Maura Kelly, staff writer Mark Puleo, and weather editor Jesse Ferrell.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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AccuWeather

"Strong thunderstorms to threaten portions of the Northeast through weekend"


Ryan Adamson

26 JUNE 2020

Meteorologists are monitoring the risk for strong to severe thunderstorms in parts of the Northeast on Saturday.

However, there will be several factors that will play a role in determining just how strong and widespread the storms become.

Following a fairly seasonable day with low humidity levels on Friday, conditions will turn unsettled by Friday night.

As warmer and more humid air arrives, an area of showers and thunderstorms is likely to move into the region.

It appears most likely that southern New York and northern Pennsylvania will have the highest risk for these storms to bring impacts.

While the storms on Friday night and early Saturday morning are not expected to be severe, there will be a risk of heavy rain.

The evolution of the threat for severe weather on Saturday afternoon will be dependent on exactly where the storms from Friday night track and how quickly they move away on Saturday morning.

"Saturday's severe weather risk will largely hinge on where a complex of rain and thunderstorms sweeps through the Great Lakes and interior Northeast during Friday night," stated AccuWeather Meteorologist Renee Duff.

"Should this complex of storms dive farther southeast and leave lingering clouds in its wake during Saturday morning, the area at risk for severe thunderstorms later in the day would likely set up farther to the south and east than currently forecast," Duff continued.

If the above scenario winds up coming to fruition, than some of the major cities along the I-95 corridor would be included in the risk zone.

"There should be a couple of thunderstorms erupting later on Saturday afternoon along the I-95 corridor between Boston and Washington," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Carl Babinski.

"There is at least the potential for those to bring strong, potentially damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, some hail and a flooding downpour through early Saturday night," Babinski noted.

While there is some question as to the severity of the storms, a storm does not need to contain damaging wind gusts, hail or flooding to be dangerous.

"Regardless of the severity of the thunderstorms on Saturday, residents are reminded that any thunderstorm can produce potentially deadly lightning strikes, so making sure you seek proper shelter is very important," Duff emphasized.

Showers and thunderstorms are likely to linger into Sunday, but the threat of severe weather will be lower.

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ABC NEWS

"July 4th weekend forecast calls for heat, severe weather"


3 JULY 2020

From California to New Jersey, heat will be the story for the holiday weekend forecast.

For example, it's been the hottest start of the summer since 2005 in Albany, New York, where it has already had seven days of 90-plus degrees.


Also, the heat reached most of the northern reaches of lower 48 states Thursday with Duluth, Minnesota, breaking a record high temperature with 93 degrees.

More heat and humidity east of the Rockies is in the forecast Friday, with most areas feeling like its 90 to 100 degrees.

Some areas will feel closer to 110 degrees in the South-central states!

A heat advisory has been issued from Minneapolis all the way down to Shreveport, Louisiana, Friday.

Over the holiday weekend, the heat will hang out for most of the East Coast, and then spread into the West as well, with 110 degrees possible in southern California.

The only relatively cooler areas will be in New England and in the Pacific Northwest, where temps will be mostly in the 70s.

Strong to severe storms from the Plains to the Northeast are worth monitoring this weekend.

Already more than 150 damaging storms reports observed from Colorado to Maine Thursday, with five reported tornadoes in Colorado and Nebraska.

No damage was reported with these tornadoes.

As the cold front moves through the Northeast, strong to severe storms are possible from Vermont down to New Jersey, where damaging winds and some hail will be the biggest threat.

More severe storms are expected in the Plains from western Montana and Wyoming to the Dakotas, where damaging winds and large hail will be the biggest threat.

Last but not least, a stationary front will continue to sit across the South and produce more storms from Oklahoma to Florida.

The biggest threat in the South will be heavy rain that could produce flash flooding, where some areas could see more than 4 inches of rain.

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ABC NEWS

"Severe storms and flash flooding in the East, gusty winds spread fires in West"


8 JULY 2020

There were more than 220 damaging storm reports from the Plains to the Northeast yesterday.

Winds gusted to 71 mph in Mamaroneck, New York, just north of New York City, and there were winds of up to 66 mph in New Jersey as well as 69 mph in Washington, D.C.

The highest wind gust due to thunderstorms was in South Dakota where it gusted to 83 mph and some downed trees were reported from the Northeast and in the Dakotas.


Elsewhere, golf ball-sized hail was reported in Bergen County, New Jersey just outside of New York City.

These thunderstorms also brought very heavy rain to the Northeast and the Plains.

Just north of Philadelphia, up to 5 inches of rain was recorded in just a few hours causing significant flash flooding in the metro area.

Just south of Washington, D.C., more than a half a foot of rain was reported and street and road flooding was reported as well.

There will be storms in the Northeast today but they won’t be as severe as they were yesterday though gusty winds and heavy rain is still possible.

Severe storms today are expected in the Upper Midwest and the northern Plains from Montana all the way to Minnesota where damaging winds and large hail will be the biggest threat and a possible threat for a few tornadoes.

In the West, several dozen fires are continuing to burn.

Some of the most significant fires are the Soledad Canyon Fire in Santa Clarita, California which is 1,500 acres and is 48% contained as evacuation orders have lifted.

The Crews Fire in Santa Clara County, California is now 5,400 acres and is only 20% contained as evacuations continue.

Wildfires are also burning in Nevada and one of them, called the Numbers Fire in Douglas County, is 2,500 acres with some evacuations occurring.

Another fire in the Bay area is the Mountain Meadows Fire in Solano county, at some point, 30 homes were evacuated but people were allowed to return and the fire has been brought under control now.

Five states in the West are under a Red Flag Warning with winds forecast to gust 30 to 40 mph and, locally, 45 mph winds are possible.

A tropical system is trying to develop in the Southeast and, at the moment, the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 40% chance to develop into a Tropical Depression or a Tropical Storm late this week as it moves off the coast of the Carolinas.

This southern system could bring very heavy rain to the Southeast from Florida to the Carolinas where, locally, some areas could see more than 5 inches of rain with flash flooding possible!

Heavy rain is expected due to a stationary front from Texas through the Gulf Coast where flash flooding is also possible.

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USA TODAY

"Tropical Storm Fay: Thousands without power in New Jersey; NYC braces for heavy wind, rain"


Andrew J. Goudsward, Joshua Chung and Joel Shannon, USA TODAY NETWORK

10 JULY 2020

ASBURY PARK, N.J. – The center of Tropical Storm Fay neared the New Jersey coast Friday afternoon as forecasters warned millions about potential flash floods, soaking rain and high winds.

A tropical storm warning spanning hundreds of miles is in effect from Delaware to Rhode Island, and Jersey Central Power and Light has reported large-scale power outages across New Jersey.

In Monmouth County alone, more than 19,000 customers were without power.

The storm has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and is moving north at 12 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Flash flood warnings were issued along the storm's path Friday, including one for the New York City area.

Fay was expected to bring 2 to 4 inches of rain Friday, with the possibility of flash flooding in parts of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England, according to the Hurricane Center.

Forecasters say the biggest impact will be the heavy rainfall that will bring some flash flooding which could be life-threatening, as "rapidly rising flood waters may quickly inundate roadways and areas of poor drainage."

"Streams and creeks could leave their banks, flooding nearby properties," said the National Weather Service.

NEW: Tropical Storm #Fay has formed this afternoon. Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued from Cape May, NJ to Watch Hill, RI, including Long Island. Full advisory: https://t.co/tW4KeFW0gB pic.twitter.com/oI4hHVQVtY
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) July 9, 2020

“We expect some pretty heavy winds, and we need people to be ready for that, and some flash flooding in certain parts of the city,” New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio said at a briefing Friday morning.

The summer storm's impact on the city was expected to be ”pretty limited," but de Blasio said it would be a bad night for outdoor dining — the only sit-down service allowed at city restaurants because of the pandemic.

"If you were going to go out tonight, instead order in and keep helping our restaurant community,” he said.

President Donald Trump said the storm is being monitored and that the Federal Emergency Management Agency was poised to help if needed.

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