LEST WE FORGET THE LOOTERS

thelivyjr
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REUTERS

"Bank of America profit hurt by losses on credit cards, office loans"


By Saeed Azhar and Mehnaz Yasmin

April 16, 2024

NEW YORK, April 16 (Reuters) - Bank of America shares on Tuesday fell more than 3% after its first-quarter profits shrank and the bank set aside more money to cover souring loans from consumers whose finances are worsening.

U.S. lenders have cited resilient household finances as evidence that the economy remains on a solid footing, but cracks are starting to show for the lowest-income consumers.

While their spending remains robust despite rising borrowing costs, higher prices and shrinking savings, banks are preparing for more Americans to miss payments.

"The market has used Bank of America as the bellwether for consumer commentary," said David Wagner, a portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors.

"The weakness in credit card delinquencies caught them offside."

BofA's net charge-offs, or debts that are unlikely to be recovered, rose to $1.5 billion in the first quarter from $807 million a year earlier, mainly from credit card losses.


The charge-offs are from delinquencies in the fourth quarter, but are beginning to stabilize, said Alastair Borthwick, chief financial officer.

"The main economic hangover for Bank of America as well as most other banks is that Federal Reserve interest rates may not decline as quickly as previously expected," said Michael Ashley Schulman, chief investment officer of California-based investment firm Running Point, which advises wealthy families.

"Therefore they may see an uptick in consumer and business delinquencies and defaults, especially from real estate."

"One good quarter from the bank is not going to allay these macro concerns."

Despite Tuesday's decline, BofA shares were up about 3% this year, lagging the S&P 500 bank index's 4.7% increase and a 6% gain for rival JPMorgan.

BofA's net interest income (NII) — the difference between what it earns on loans and pays for deposits — slid 3% to $14 billion as it paid more to customers to park their money while demand from borrowers stayed modest.

But it was turning more optimistic.

"We continue to expect that Q2 will be the low point for NII and we expect the back half of 2024 to grow," Borthwick told analysts on a conference call on Tuesday.

JPMorgan, the largest U.S. lender, slightly increased its estimate for NII, disappointing investors who hoped that the bank would reap even greater benefits from a prolonged period of higher interest rates.

BofA's CEO Brian Moynihan told analysts the bank had cut the workforce by more than 4,700 employees from the first quarter of 2023.

SHIFTING EXPECTATIONS

Excluding one-off items, Bank of America earned 83 cents a share in the first quarter, ahead of analysts' average estimate of 76 cents a share, according to LSEG data.

Still, shifting expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts and an uncertain economic outlook have made it more difficult to predict future profits, banking executives said last week.

If the Federal Reserve keeps rates higher for longer in the coming months, lenders that made bumper profits from rising interest rates in the last two years could build on their gains.

But their earnings could diminish if a potential economic slowdown deters borrowers from taking out loans.

"Generally speaking, higher for longer is probably better for banks," said Borthwick.

"Inflation is under control ... that appears to be the case."

"So that's obviously a good place."

A resilient U.S. economy, buoyant equities and a flurry of large deals have reignited hopes of a nascent recovery in dealmaking, although industry executives have expressed guarded optimism.

Investment banking fees jumped 35% to $1.6 billion from a year earlier, partially offsetting a decline in interest payments due to slow demand from borrowers.

Last month, Borthwick said he expected investment banking revenue to jump 10% to 15% in the first quarter.

Revenue from the segment also rose at rival JPMorgan and Citigroup in the first quarter, fueled by gains in debt and equity capital markets.

BofA's sales and trading revenue rose 2% to $5.2 billion with equities contributing a 15% jump and fixed income currencies and commodities posting a 4% decline.

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE

Bank of America set aside $1.3 billion in provisions for credit losses in the first quarter, up from $931 million a year earlier.

It also took more writedowns on office loans, which partly increased loan losses for its commercial division.

Still, its CFO said the lender had limited commercial real estate exposure and was reviewing ratings, property appraisals and sales.

Revenue from Bank of America's consumer unit sank 5% to $10 billion in the quarter, primarily due to lower deposit balances.

Bank of America also took a $700 million charge in the reported quarter to replenish a government deposit insurance fund, drained by $16 billion to cover depositors of two banks that collapsed in 2023.

Profit from BofA's Merrill wealth management division rose about 10% to $1 billion as rising equity values generated higher fees with record revenue and client balances.

The division grew assets under management to $1.4 trillion from $1.3 trillion in the fourth quarter.

Reporting by Saeed Azhar in New York and Mehnaz Yasmin in Bengaluru;additional reporting by Sinead Carew; Editing by Lananh Nguyen, Shinjini Ganguli and Nick Zieminski

https://www.reuters.com/business/financ ... 024-04-16/
thelivyjr
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Re: LEST WE FORGET THE LOOTERS

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REUTERS

"US regional banks seen booking more commercial property losses, loan sales"


By Saeed Azhar and Matt Tracy

April 17, 2024

April 17 (Reuters) - U.S. regional banks are expected to set aside more money to cover potential commercial real estate (CRE) losses and sell more property loans as the sector remains under pressure a year after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.

Most multifamily loans are made by regional banks, so when New York Community Bank posted a surprise fourth-quarter loss it intensified fears about the industry's exposure to commercial real estate.

Multifamily properties with more than five units are a major concern, especially since the bank had booked losses on its real estate portfolio.

Scrutiny of regional banks has increased after Silicon Valley Bank's collapse prompted by high borrowing costs that exceeded its income from low-rate loans following the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes since March 2022.

Many banks have unrealized losses on securities portfolios, including mortgage-backed paper.

A slew of regional banks report first-quarter earnings starting April 16.

"I expect to see more of a reserve buildup," said Stephen Buschbom, research director at consultancy Trepp.

Buschbom said office loans remain the "biggest pain points" for banks, but he also expects stress in the multifamily sector especially construction loans.

Office loans have been hit as many employees still work from home after the pandemic, leaving vacancies that make it tougher for building owners to repay their mortgages.

Multifamily is also under pressure in cities like New York and San Francisco that, right before the pandemic, severely limited rent hikes on regulated apartments based on record low interest rates and inflation at the time.

Non-performing CRE loans as a percentage of U.S. banks' portfolios doubled to 0.81% by the end of 2023 from 0.4% a year earlier, the International Monetary Fund said in its semi-annual Global Financial Stability report.

Banks have continued to increase provisions for bad CRE loans, the IMF noted on Tuesday.

Several analysts and investors are predicting higher reserves.

Morgan Stanley forecast a 10- to 20-basis point increase in CRE reserve ratios for regional banks this year, said Manan Gosalia, an analyst at the Wall Street bank, in a research note.

Aggregate provisions are 20% above consensus, she added.

Stephen Biggar of Argus Research agreed, saying high office vacancies have reduced cash flows, and the Fed's stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer makes financing expensive.

CRE holdings are significant across the U.S. banking industry, comprising 13% of large banks' balance sheets and 44% for regional banks, an Ares Alternative Credit report showed.

Reflecting investor sentiment, the KBW regional bank index is down 13.5% year to date versus the S&P bank index's 6.8% rise.

S&P Global Ratings downgraded the outlook for five U.S. banks in March because of stress in CRE markets, which it said may hurt their asset quality and performance.

The banks cited, including M&T Bank and Valley National Bancorp, declined to comment.

"The CRE delinquency rate for banks is more benign than the commercial mortgage-backed securities market, but deteriorating," Stuart Plesser, managing director (at rating agency S&P Global Ratings, told Reuters, saying he sees some reserve increase for banks.

The delinquency rate at regional banks is 1.2% for loans 30 days due as of the end of the fourth quarter, according to S&P Global, below the 4% for CMBS.

Buschbom, however, said the level of support from potential buyers, including private equity investors, will help reduce some downside risks for banks.

Office loans are selling at deep discounts, while multifamily properties have smaller discounts, industry sources said.

"Numerous community and regional banks are exploring their options and, as a result, we are seeing more deal flow than we have since the global financial crisis," said David Aviram, co-founder of real estate investment firm Maverick Real Estate Partners.

A senior Wall Street banker who declined to be named discussing sensitive information said banks are expected to offload existing loans to private lenders and that those lenders would originate new loans.

Among such deals, regional lender PacWest last year sold construction loans with a $200 million discount, a regulatory filing showed.

In December Signature Bridge Bank, whose predecessor Signature Bank collapsed in 2023, sold 20% of its equity stake in a venture that held a $16.8 billion real estate loan portfolio to a Blackstone-led consortium for $1.2 billion.

The discount on the portfolio was nearly 30%, based on data from the announcement by Blackstone.

"We see banks taking a more conservative approach and anticipate additional write-offs in coming quarters," said Ran Eliasaf, founder and managing partner at Northwind Group, a private equity firm over $3 billion assets under management.

"There's a much more dramatic drop in values than what the market estimated in 2023."

Analysts, however, do not expect turmoil from the banking sector's exposure to commercial real estate.

"This is a slow wreck, not a high-speed crash," said Biggar of Argus Research.

Reporting by Saeed Azhar and Matt Tracy; editing by Megan Davies and Richard Chang

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-r ... 024-04-17/
thelivyjr
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Re: LEST WE FORGET THE LOOTERS

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REUTERS

"US regulators seize troubled lender Republic First, sell it to Fulton Bank"


By Reuters

April 26, 2024

April 26 (Reuters) - U.S. regulators have seized Republic First Bancorp and agreed to sell it to Fulton Bank, underscoring the challenges facing regional banks a year after the collapse of three peers.

Philadelphia-based Republic First, which had abandoned funding talks with a group of investors, was seized by the Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC), appointed as a receiver, said on Friday Fulton Bank, a unit of Fulton Financial Corp, will assume substantially all deposits and purchase all the assets of Republic Bank, which is the operating name for Republic First, to "protect depositors".

Republic Bank had about $6 billion in total assets and $4 billion in total deposits, as of Jan. 31, 2024.

The FDIC estimated the cost of the failure to its fund will be $667 million.

Apart from deposits, Republic also had borrowings and other liabilities of approximately $1.3 billion, Fulton said in a statement.

Fulton said the deal almost doubles its presence in the Philadelphia market with combined company deposits of approximately $8.6 billion.

"With this transaction, we are excited to double our presence across the region," said Fulton Chairman and CEO Curt Myers in a statement.

Republic Bank's 32 branches in New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York will reopen as branches of Fulton Bank on Saturday or on Monday during business hours.

The decision marks the latest U.S. regional bank failure following the unexpected collapses of three lenders - Silicon Valley and Signature in March 2023 and First Republic in May.

Republic Bank had struck a deal with an investor group that included veteran businessman George Norcross and high-profile attorney Philip Norcross late last year, but the effort was terminated in February.

After that deal collapsed, the FDIC resumed efforts to seize and sell the bank, according to the Wall Street Journal, which first reported the news.

Republic Bank cut jobs and exited its mortgage origination business in early 2023 as it reeled under pressure from higher costs and inability to improve profitability.

The bank's stock price has tumbled from just over $2 at the start of the year to about 1 cent on Friday, leaving it with a market capitalization below $2 million.

Its shares were delisted from the Nasdaq in August and now trade over the counter.

Piper Sandler & Co and BofA Securities acted as financial advisers to Fulton, while Sullivan & Cromwell LLP acted as legal adviser.

Reporting by Manas Mishra, Pritam Biswas and Nathan Gomes in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Saeed Azhar in New York; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar, Sriraj Kalluvila and Muralikumar Anantharaman

https://www.reuters.com/business/financ ... 024-04-26/
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